Nov 06 2009
Gig Harbor home sales up 5 of last 6 months
Gig Harbor home sales up 5 of last 6 months
At least four major statistics show a turn-around in Gig Harbor home sales, including sales prices.
- October is the fifth month in the past six showing home sales better than 2008, equaling September and a 15% increase over last October.
- Year-to-date prices have slipped only 6% for Gig Harbor home sales but 11% for Key Peninsula. This is slowing the double digit downward spiral that has occurred over the last four quarters and is a positive sign of market stabilization.
- Absorption rate, or the number of months supply of homes, has changed dramatically in some price ranges. A neutral market-or one in equilibrium--is five to six months of listings, based on the number of sales the past month. Anything fewer and the market is considered a seller's market--above a buyer's market. In Key Peninsula the price ranges of $250-350,000 and $450-550,000 are now in the category of a seller's market. In Gig Harbor home sales nothing qualifies as a seller's market but $350-450,000 and $600-650,000 price ranges are in "neutral market" territory. These ranges will change from week to week but we have seen steadying in more price categories. Currently at $800,000 and above there are four homes under contract and one closed sale-but 148 on the market.
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Gig Harbor |
Gig Harbor |
Gig Harbor |
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Key Peninsula |
Key Peninsula |
Key Peninsula |
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Oct 2009 |
Sep 2009 |
Oct 2008 |
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Oct 2009 |
Sept 2009 |
Oct 2008 |
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# Sold |
50 |
49 |
41 |
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23 |
25 |
21 |
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Sales Price |
377,250 |
362,000 |
417000 |
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252,250 |
191,000 |
337,000 |
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YTD Price Change |
▼6% |
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▼11% |
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# On Market |
615 |
695 |
750 |
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186 |
200 |
215 |
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Absorption |
12 mo |
14 mo |
20 mo |
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8 mo |
8 mo |
10 mo |
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Market Time |
128 |
182 |
210 |
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139 |
172 |
186 |
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LP/SP Ratio |
96% |
96% |
93.6% |
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94% |
97.25% |
95.5% |
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Pending |
75 |
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|
30 |
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Here is a smattering of other market tidbits
- 31% of listed homes in Gig Harbor are vacant-40% in Key Peninsula.
- 22 homes flipped from pending status to active in October-half the number that flipped in third quarter. Many of these stem from financing issues or short sale procedures.
- Seattle has the highest rate of commercial real estate (new construction, subdivisions) in default in the nation-31% of all loans.
Gig Harbor home sales-and prices--should continue to firm up over fall and winter, with legislation just signed into law that extends the first-time homebuyer $8000 tax credit as well as expanding the program to give a $6500 credit to owners living in their home for the past five years. I can see price pockets during the next two to three quarters where demand equals the supply, which serves to increase the median price.
Carole Holmaas is an Associate Broker at Windermere Real Estate, licensed since 1967. She may be reached at Carole@ISellGigHarbor.com or 253.549.6611. Her real estate blog may be read at http://blog.ISellGigHarbor.com
Comments Off on Gig Harbor home sales up 5 of last 6 months
Waterfront buyers sat on the sidelines from November through March. But April, May and June produced an abundance of sales of Gig Harbor waterfront homes, closing in May through July to end summer on a far better note that it started. And sales through the end of October have actually tied with year-end of 2008. If all 15 homes that are pending close, the year will end down only 15% from 2006 and 2007.
Inventory has plummeted since April. Following the subprime lending news in September and October last year, inventory of Gig Harbor waterfront skyrocketed and sales were non-existent. November through April ran a steady 9-10 year supply of waterfront properties with a nominal single property closing each of those months. May through July saw the inventory absorbed, with 12 homes closing escrow in July.
July's closings swept away a lot of Gig Harbor waterfront inventory and it continued momentum, creating 21 new pendings. October has also produced two pendings on properties listed over $1million.
Prices on high end homes are still trending downward. But sellers have become savvy in pricing their homes and September closings of Gig Harbor waterfront showed transactions closed at an average of 91% of the original list price. This is far better than the 78-84% differential experienced most of this year. Cash buyers have leveraged their cash and felt confident the "bottom of the market" was nearing. They purchased some great properties in the past few months-for as much as a 30% discount.
Approximately 30% of homes sold in the first month of listing and over 34% sold after more than four months, the balance falling between one and four months.
In September I commented the overall median price for all Gig Harbor waterfront properties this year would likely be $100,000 less than 2008, which was $800,000. That appears to still be the case with the median sales price at $690,000 year-to-date.
The table shows the activity and prices in each of the areas thus far this year. It is notable that two areas-Wollochet/Cromwell and Horsehead/Arletta are experiencing sales prices very close to their median list price. Wauna and Key Peninsula are two other areas selling quite close to the list price


Waterfront buyers sat on the sidelines from November through March. But April, May and June produced an abundance of sales of Gig Harbor waterfront homes, closing in May through July to end summer on a far better note that it started. Â And sales through the end of October have actually tied with year-end of 2008. If all 15 homes that are pending close, the year will end down only 15% from 2006 and 2007.
Inventory has plummeted since April. Following the subprime lending news in September and October last year, inventory of Gig Harbor waterfront skyrocketed and sales were non-existent. November through April ran a steady 9-10 year supply of waterfront properties with a nominal single property closing each of those months. May through July saw the inventory absorbed, with 12 homes closing escrow in July.
July's closings swept away a lot of Gig Harbor waterfront inventory and it continued momentum, creating 21 new pendings. October has also produced two pendings on properties listed over $1million.
Prices on high end homes are still trending downward. But sellers have become savvy in pricing their homes and September closings of Gig Harbor waterfront showed transactions closed at an average of 91% of the original list price. This is far better than the 78-84% differential experienced most of this year. Cash buyers have leveraged their cash and felt confident the "bottom of the market" was nearing. They purchased some great properties in the past few months-for as much as a 30% discount.
Approximately 30% of homes sold in the first month of listing and over 34% sold after more than four months, the balance falling between one and four months.
In September I commented the overall median price for all Gig Harbor waterfront properties this year would likely be $100,000 less than 2008, which was $800,000. That appears to still be the case with the median sales price at $690,000 year-to-date.
The table shows the activity and prices in each of the areas thus far this year. It is notable that two areas-Wollochet/Cromwell and Horsehead/Arletta are experiencing sales prices very close to their median list price. Wauna and Key Peninsula are two other areas selling quite close to the list price
98349 and 98351
98329 and 98394
Throughout the entire Gig Harbor and Key Peninsula market area, sales for October are on track to close higher numbers than last year. Several price ranges are showing the first signs of strength in a year, namely in the low $500's and the mid $400's and $600's.
Carole Holmaas is an Associate Broker at Windermere Real Estate, licensed since 1967. She may be reached at Carole@ISellGigHarbor.com or 253.549.6611. Her real estate blog may be read at http://blog.ISellGigHarbor.com
98349 and 98351
98329 and 98394